Florida

In 2022, Democratic turnout was less than 50% in Florida and lagged Republican turnout by a catastrophic15 points. In most prior recent statewide elections, Democratic turnout has trailed Republican turnout by about 10% in midterms and 5% in general elections. I saw a lot of Planned Parenthood and League of Women Voters volunteers who were very active in getting petitions signed to get the amendment on the ballot. I do not see the same level of commitment for getting out the vote activities.

Unless something changes I expect the amendment to fail to reach the 60% threshold.