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In It to Win It

(9,766 posts)
Fri May 10, 2024, 12:40 PM May 2024

Abortion rights amendment has 61% support, Florida Chamber poll says

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/673595-abortion-rights-amendment-has-61-support-florida-chamber-poll-says/


Amendment 4 has enough support to win in November, but there is a tight race ahead, according to a new Florida Chamber of Commerce poll.

About 61% of voters support the issue — enough to reach the threshold of 60% voter approval to pass — but 10% are still undecided or refused to answer. Twenty-nine percent surveyed opposed enshrining abortion protections in the state constitution, according to the poll.

The Chamber’s statewide poll had a margin error of +/- 4 percentage points. The survey was conducted April 28 to May 7 on the phone with likely voters, a group that included 223 Democrats, 256 Republicans and 130 others with no party affiliation.

The fight over Amendment 4 comes after Florida’s six-week abortion ban went into effect May 1. Pro-abortion rights advocates called it one of the most extreme abortion rules in the country, since many women don’t realize they are even pregnant at six weeks.

Earlier this week, abortion rights advocates said they are confident they have enough support to win in November, pointing to the bipartisan grassroots support from Democrats and Republicans alike who signed petitions to get the issue on the ballot.
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Abortion rights amendment has 61% support, Florida Chamber poll says (Original Post) In It to Win It May 2024 OP
Woohoo for any sign of sanity from the folks in my state. lark May 2024 #1
Support and votes are two different things. hay rick May 2024 #2

lark

(24,343 posts)
1. Woohoo for any sign of sanity from the folks in my state.
Sat May 11, 2024, 12:31 PM
May 2024

We definitely have a chance if death sentence doesn't manage to fuck this over.

hay rick

(8,321 posts)
2. Support and votes are two different things.
Sun May 12, 2024, 12:35 PM
May 2024

In 2022, Democratic turnout was less than 50% in Florida and lagged Republican turnout by a catastrophic15 points. In most prior recent statewide elections, Democratic turnout has trailed Republican turnout by about 10% in midterms and 5% in general elections. I saw a lot of Planned Parenthood and League of Women Voters volunteers who were very active in getting petitions signed to get the amendment on the ballot. I do not see the same level of commitment for getting out the vote activities.

Unless something changes I expect the amendment to fail to reach the 60% threshold.

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