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paleotn

(21,425 posts)
2. Oh, great. $1.1 Trillion dollars of destabilization.
Sat Dec 13, 2025, 10:27 AM
Dec 13

If the system actually works, which is very highly unlikely, it makes the chances of a nuclear exchange much more likely in the short and medium term, before full implementation.

The key to nuclear stability in a proliferated world is the fact that no nuclear power can incinerate another nuclear power without also being incinerated in turn. That's worked for 80 years and still works today. Even between India and Pakistan which is no small feat. Seems nobodies crazy enough to risk almost certain incineration.

If we were getting close to becoming invulnerable to nuclear attack, our not-friends, and even some of or friends, would begin to seriously wonder if the US thought nuclear war was now winnable. Stands to reason we would because it would be true. But that's the nightmare scenario. Instead of allowing their nuclear deterrent to become irrelevant and face being under the US nuclear thumb, our not-friends would be incentivized to strike first, both nuclear and conventional. They simply cannot have a nuclear tipped, US super hegemony. No one will allow that. Certainly not with our record of electing crazed jackasses.

The only way to avoid that is to share the technology, if it works which it won't, with everyone globally and the cost of deployment. That would make nuclear weapons close to impotent. That's never, ever going to happen.

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