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jmg257

(11,996 posts)
3. Its all Lott's fault. Or is just Mr. Math?
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 07:44 AM
Apr 2016

Cause these numbers make it look like the more guns sold, the lower the crime rates & gun violence rates?
Per the FBI & USCR & PRC & CDC:

Year  NICS check Violent Crimes
2000  8,543,000 1,425,486 
2001  8,910,191 1,439,480 
2002  8,454,000 1,423,677 
2003  8,481,588 1,383,676 
2004  8,687,671 1,360,088 
2005  8,952,945 1,390,745 
2006  10,106,933 1,418,043 
2007  11,177,335 1,408,337 
2008  12,709,023 1,392,628 
2009  14,033,824 1,325,896 
2010 14,409,616 1,251,248
2011 16,454,951 1,206,031
2012 19,592,303 1,217,067
2013 21,0932,72 1,199,684
2014 20,968,547 1,197,987


http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/10/21/gun-homicides-steady-after-decline-in-90s-suicide-rate-edges-up/ft_15-10-13_gunviolence/


"Between 1993 and 2000, the gun homicide rate dropped by nearly half, from 7.0 homicides to 3.8 homicides per 100,000 people. Since then, the gun homicide rate has remained relatively flat {3.8 to 3.4}. From 2009 to 2014, the most recent year data are available, the number of gun homicides has hovered around 11,000 and 12,000 per year."
The nation’s overall gun death rate has declined 31% since 1993.

Suicides are increasing: "while the gun suicide rate has declined overall since 1993, in recent years it has risen, from 6.3 per 100,000 people in 2010 to 6.7 in 2014."

But overall:
"The nation’s overall gun death rate has declined 31% since 1993"

Huh. Likely something else going on here, no?

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