Gun Control & RKBA

discntnt_irny_srcsm

(18,604 posts)

6. more new math

Thu Mar 17, 2016, 02:50 PM

Mar 2016

That's merely over the course of one year; over a handgun's lifetime (approx. 40 - 50 years) the odds of a handgun being used in a crime is about 10%, or using your figures about 50 handguns in 470 will be used in a crime.

Using percentages 1 in 470 is 0.2%. Using your logic over the next 470 years every existing handgun will be used in a crime. By that logic I guess the repeat offenders (rapists for one) go out and get a new gun for each crime.

But, once again for ole time's sake. National gunstock has indeed increased since the early 90's, from approx. 225 million firearms to approx. 300 millions today, an increase of ~33%. But a solid proportion of that increase went to existing gun owners, since the gun ownership RATEs have fallen, both personal & home ownership. As well, the avg number of guns owned has risen, within gun owner ranks.

Since all of these purchases (or at least the great majority, according to you) are being made by existing gun owners, the average age of a gun owner must be going up as well. Use some of that math you're so good at and tell us how long we'll have to wait for the average age of the average rapist to be over 70 years old.

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Guns and crime [View all] discntnt_irny_srcsm Mar 2016 OP

Controllers need routine reminding: More guns des NOT mean more crime. Repeat. nt Eleanors38 Mar 2016 #1

Increase in guns, not gun owners. beardown Mar 2016 #2

Very odd, you'd think a drop in violent crime that big would be worth celebrating? DonP Mar 2016 #3

gun enthusiasm induced selective amnesia jimmy the one Mar 2016 #4

more new math discntnt_irny_srcsm Mar 2016 #6

statistics for dummys, to the nth degree jimmy the one Mar 2016 #12

re: Statistics for Dummys discntnt_irny_srcsm Mar 2016 #13

flavors of statistics jimmy the one Mar 2016 #15

keep trying discntnt_irny_srcsm Mar 2016 #16

Over a handgun's lifetime (approx. 40 - 50 years) CompanyFirstSergeant Mar 2016 #5

I infer that you meant to reply to jimmy discntnt_irny_srcsm Mar 2016 #7

Still no explanation of 200,000+ new FOID cards in Illinois DonP Mar 2016 #8

You didn't catch ISP's director's gejohnston Mar 2016 #9

I must have been out buying more GUNZ!!! for my closet DonP Mar 2016 #10

re: "Maybe the Illinois State Police are just NRA shills?" discntnt_irny_srcsm Mar 2016 #14

"How much more would the rate drop if drugs were decriminalized?" pablo_marmol Mar 2016 #11