Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

jimmy the one

(2,720 posts)
4. ccw permit does not nec mean new gun owner
Fri Nov 13, 2015, 01:19 PM
Nov 2015

kang's link: 378,642 people or one in every 14 adults has a gun license in Massachusetts. Up from 227,612 in 2010. A 66% increase.

A 61% increase in licensing rate, since Massachusetts added nearly 200,000 people between 2010 & dec 2014:

Census Bureau estimated that the Massachusetts population count had increased.. to July 1, 2014 to a new total of 6,745,408 persons..

Population 2010: 6,547,629
pop " ....... 2014: 6,745,408 >>> increase of 197,779

2014: 378,642 / 6,745,408 = 0.0561 = % ccw permit (I thinks)
2010: 227,612 / 6,547,629 = 0.0348 = ... " ..... "

maths: 0.0348 + (0.0348 x Y) = 0.0561
0.0348 x Y = 0.0213
Y = 0.0213 / 0.0348 = 61.2% increase in ccw rate '10 - '14;

That's approx. a 15% increase in ccw permits (& gun licenses?) every year for past 4 years. When taking into account rarely if ever used ccw permits obtained just to have one - you cannot infer a 61% increase in gun owners over the 4 year period.

Within the last few years there’s been a significant rise in the last 3-4 years,” said .. NRA certified instructor.

She says without producing a figure for comparison.

The number of legal gun owners in Massachusetts is growing. The 22News I-Team obtained and analyzed state data showing how many people have a license to carry from 2009 to September 2015... 38,666 residents have a FID card, which permits the purchase, possession and transportation of non-large-capacity rifles, shotguns and ammunition.

The number of people who do NOT own guns in Massachusetts is RISING also.
And a license to carry does not necessarily equate to a 'new gun owner'.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Gun ownership has become a political statement, too. earthside Nov 2015 #1
I agree. I also contend those huge lines at gun shows post-Sandy Hook were demos... Eleanors38 Nov 2015 #2
That's about the same for Illinois, both Deep Blue states. DonP Nov 2015 #3
ccw permit does not nec mean new gun owner jimmy the one Nov 2015 #4
False. Kang Colby Nov 2015 #5
So when did CCW become a fashion accessory? beardown Nov 2015 #6
gun ownership rates declining nationwide jimmy the one Nov 2015 #7
Got it. beevul Nov 2015 #8
"Situational credibility" at work DonP Nov 2015 #9
Par for the course with some. N/T beevul Nov 2015 #10
I just added another one Duckhunter935 Nov 2015 #12
Per the Boston Globe, most gun owners in MA have a license to carry friendly_iconoclast Nov 2015 #13
Yeah, you must have an LTC Kang Colby Nov 2015 #14
zogby push poll jimmy the one Nov 2015 #15
You are striving mightily to divert attention from the OP friendly_iconoclast Nov 2015 #17
What do polls have to do with the demonstable increase in gun ownership in MA? friendly_iconoclast Nov 2015 #11
You noticed that too DonP Nov 2015 #16
I await the revelation of his credentials in sociology and/or statistics friendly_iconoclast Nov 2015 #18
Two bits says they will be from an obscure, old "survey"? DonP Nov 2015 #19
...accompanied by a 1500 word exegesis, with lots of bolding and italics n/t friendly_iconoclast Nov 2015 #20
You win! DonP Nov 2015 #22
Nowhere near the predicted word count, but the superfluous italics and bolding appeared... friendly_iconoclast Nov 2015 #24
zogby worst pollster in the world - nate silver jimmy the one Nov 2015 #21
Another failed diversion-polls *still* have zip to do with the OP friendly_iconoclast Nov 2015 #23
Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Gun Control & RKBA»Gun Ownership in MA Incre...»Reply #4