Israel/Palestine
In reply to the discussion: Burnt by Gaza Strike, Palestinian Boy Suffers Agonising Pain [View all]moniss
(6,250 posts)as a scenario where a ceasefire happens in order to release the hostages and then once Hamas would do that then the ceasefire would continue as long as conditions are met and during that continuance of the ceasefire the "governing" portion is created. You can't release hostages into a full fledged fire-fight. Just like the last time. That is the scenario that the negotiators have been discussing. By your own statement you say "if Hamas keeps attacking, you bet he is not going to stop!" and my point is he is not saying that but rather is saying they must go period. So if Hamas stops all fighting but remains in Gaza is the scenario and he is consistent in saying he will not stop until they are gone not just until they stop fighting. That has been one of the major stumbling blocks in negotiations as to what that status of Hamas looks like. Remember that in the end the reality is the negotiation is between Israel and Hamas and what is the demand on one side is for the other to accept elimination from the area.
This is why I pointed out the real possibility of the "guerilla war from remote command" even if they are displaced to Qatar etc. That is one reason why that end phase negotiation after the hostages are released is so difficult. In order to have things completely end there cannot be a constant barrage of "pot shots" orchestrated from abroad. So in other words if Hamas leaves then what does anybody think they are going to do? Turn into a social club? If they physically remain in Gaza but with no military or political role does anybody really think they won't be working to do attacks etc. in the future? So the problem is how to structure a peace plan that is acceptable to the sides because it is not as simple as "just release the hostages and stop fighting". The PM has been on record many times saying they must go and he will not stop until they do. He was asked this specifically with regard to military operations.
Nearly every one of the negotiator statements has talked about the ceasefire as a multi-part matter. Different phases. Refer back to what Biden had said about a framework.