Michigan

Kansas is deep red, the polling had their abortion ban passing by a couple points, it lost by 17 points. A 20 point flip. If that would have been in November, Democrats would have had wins in Kansas districts they were thought to be 15 point under dogs in.

So some of the crazy rural counties that trump carried like 75-20 in 2020 will probably stay red, but others that are like 60-40 GOP could be in play. I think on the 538 map of Congressional seats, if it's blue, light blue, or a toss up, it's going blue, period. If it's light red it's going blue or is a tossup, and I think a select few deep red districts will go blue too.