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Arizona

In reply to the discussion: Sinema v Gallego 2024 [View all]

AZProgressive

(29,385 posts)
2. I think Sinema will have a more difficult time winning statewide
Sun May 1, 2022, 03:45 PM
May 2022

Only 19% of Democrats have a favorable view so turnout will probably be low with her on the ballot. I also don’t think she can make up enough with Republicans or Independents unlike Manchin. The Green Party candidate probably won’t drop out like last time she ran.

Also the Presidential race could play a role but I still expect turnout to be lower for Sinema.

Gallego just needs to win Maricopa County and future demographic changes favor the Democrats.

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