As we all know, Trump's bluster about Iran and his insistence on attacking Iran are bullshit and there is a LOT in this to worry us all. But one aspect of all this worries me.
We always prepare to fight the last war and we go to war with what we have, which, in this case is aircraft carriers (medium-size floating cities with a population of 3,000 and a modest airfield) and their accompanying cruisers, destroyers, and other support vessels.
In Ukraine, the drone war -- which was unheard of three years ago -- is all but ruling the battlefield. Carriers cost billions upon billions. Drones can be manufactured in your mother's basement for a few $$$ each. Iran is cranking them out by the thousands to supply Russia in Ukraine.
What's the chance of one or more armed Iranian drones getting through all the radar and air defense systems and severely damaging a carrier? And -- Iran has a goodly stock of shore-to-ship antiship missiles as well as a moderate level of air defenses. Yes, our initial attacks likely will diminish their air defenses and their shore-based anti-ship inventory -- but we will not and cannot get it all.
Trump's earlier attack on Iran was not a problem -- flight of Stealth bombers zoomed in, dropped bombs, cause a little damage, and zipped out. This is not the same thing.
US high-performance naval aircraft and crews will be lost. There will be new threats to US ships -- threats for which we are not prepared.
And let's not forget Iran's ability to generate terrorist attacks on US installations worldwide.
All for what goddam reason? Has Netanyahoo convinced Trump that, by attacking Iran, he will then be free to build condos in Gaza? Trump reasoning is that stupid.
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