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progree

(12,748 posts)

7. Dunno how many are seasonal. But note that ADP reports seasonally adjusted numbers

Reply to Ray Bruns (Reply #3)

Wed Jan 7, 2026, 12:33 PM

Wednesday

https://adpemploymentreport.com/

Click on Technical Notes to expand it:

Nationally representative measure of weekly employment

Seasonally adjusted measure of employment

as does the BLS, who reports their numbers Friday, but inevitably people will post that the numbers are good (or not too bad) only because of seasonal hires.

Back to ADP - I found this as far as seasonally adjusted numbers and not-seasonally adjusted numbers

Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ADPMNUSNERNSA
November:136,270,000
December 136,109,000
DECREASE: 161,000

Seasonally Adjusted: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ADPMNUSNERSA
November: 134,547,000
December: 134,588,000
Increase:: 41,000
(as reported in media articles and https://adpemploymentreport.com/ )

So their seasonal adjustment process turned a 161,000 decrease in jobs to a 41,000 increase.

Interesting.

Several FRED series on ADP data - https://fred.stlouisfed.org/categories/32250

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Bakerboy17

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Highlight:

ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 41,000 Jobs in December; Annual Pay was Up 4.4% [View all] mahatmakanejeeves Wednesday OP

Nope.............. Lovie777 Wednesday #1

Sure it did. No doubt why nobody can find job. SheltieLover Wednesday #2

Is it me or is that rather a lackluster new jobs number. And how many of those jobs were seasonal? Ray Bruns Wednesday #3

Dunno how many are seasonal. But note that ADP reports seasonally adjusted numbers progree Wednesday #7

Mid-Atlantic was strongest, everything else so-so bucolic_frolic Wednesday #4

Remember that this covers only ADP's customers, not the country as a whole PSPS Wednesday #5

ADP is a private payrolls processing company, not BLS or other government progree Wednesday #6

The white-collar jobs wipeout shows no sign of slowing mahatmakanejeeves Wednesday #8

we need, what, 150,000 jobs just to keep up with new college grads? Skittles Wednesday #9

Well, population growth generally, so anybody joining the workforce . . . diploma, undergraduate, graduate hatrack Wednesday #10