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highplainsdem

(63,335 posts)
Sun May 31, 2026, 11:12 PM Sunday

SpaceX Vow To Loft 1 Million AI Satellites Could Spark (A Financial) Doomsday Dive (Fortune, 5/31/26) [View all]

https://www.forbes.com/sites/kevinholdenplatt/2026/05/31/spacex-vow-to-loft-1-million-ai-satellites-could-spark-doomsday-dive/

Elon Musk’s plan to begin launching one million AI data center satellites into orbit in 2028 could trigger a financial catastrophe, sending SpaceX into a high-speed nosedive, say leading North American space scholars.

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Dr. Zubrin, who designed an early prototype of NASA’s Space Launch System Moon rocket, which just sent four Allied astronauts on a circumlunar space trek, says lofting satellites to host next-generation artificial intelligence models like OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Google’s Gemini would be astronomically more expensive than terrestrial data centers.

During the countdown to the SpaceX IPO and listing, its commander-in-chief posted a mission statement on the outfit’s website stating: “Launching a constellation of a million satellites that operate as orbital data centers” would support “AI-driven applications for billions of people today and ensuring humanity’s multi-planetary future.”

Promising to launch the next-generation Starship super-capsule once every hour to rocket these satellites hundreds of kilometers above the Earth, Musk predicted: "My estimate is that within 2 to 3 years, the lowest cost way to generate AI compute will be in space.”

-snip-


Robert Zubrin, who founded the Mars Society and has known Musk for a quarter of a century, knows Musk is wrong about that. He says that "Launching a million satellite orbital data center constellation is fantasy."

Zubrin is pointing out that Musk's planned data centers in space would, because of launch costs, cost up to a hundred times as much per kilowatt hour as it does to generate power for data centers on Earth.

But these fantasies are Musk's sales pitch for the upcoming SpaceX IPO.


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