Especially striking are the findings of a Public Religion Research Institute poll this fall that asked whether Mr. Trump had gone too far in a variety of his actions. Among respondents, 54 percent said he had gone too far on tariffs, as did 55 percent on cuts to grants to universities and 60 percent on cuts to Medicare, Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act. Mr. Trump and the G.O.P. are especially vulnerable on cuts to enhanced Affordable Care Act subsidies: A KFF survey last month found that 74 percent of Americans said they should be extended, not eliminated.
Even on immigration, Mr. Trumps signature issue, his radical approach was unpopular: In the Public Religion Research Institute poll, 65 percent of respondents opposed deporting undocumented immigrants to foreign prisons, 63 percent opposed arresting undocumented immigrants who have resided in the United States with no criminal records, and 58 percent said that Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers should not conceal their identities with masks or use unmarked vehicles.
Mr. Trumps opponents have no cause for complacency. In the wake of the 2008 financial implosion, the pandemic and postpandemic inflation, volatility and unhappiness have been hallmarks of public opinion. Poll numbers are fickle.
But in 2025, Trumpian flimflam hit its limits even in the G.O.P. when a majority of Republicans in the Indiana State Senate defied the presidents demand for a midterm congressional redistricting. His power to intimidate is ebbing. A reasonable majority exists. Its searching for alternatives to a leader and a movement it has found wanting.