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TexasTowelie

(117,533 posts)
Mon Apr 22, 2024, 02:33 PM Apr 2024

How Ukraine Is Exploiting Russia's Oil Bottleneck Problem - William Spaniel



For months, Ukraine has targeted Russia's oil industry with drone strikes. Subtly, though, Ukraine's focus has been specifically on hitting refined oil products, not raw crude. This video examines why that is the case. We begin with obvious factors, like value, concentration, and distance. However, due to a less obvious bottleneck problem with shipping, the marginal value of hitting crude may in fact be nearly zero for Ukraine.

0:00 The Timeline of Ukraine's Attacks
2:20 The Relative Value of Crude and Refined Oil
4:20 The Concentration of Targets
5:46 The Geography of Attacks
7:42 Russia's Bottleneck on Ships
11:57 The Benefit of Further Sanctions
13:28 Russia's Defensive Strategy
15:12 Black Sea Parallels
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