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Building El Nino
This week's ENSO Weekly Update says to expect El Nino to come on in the June-August period and last at least until the end of the year. Subsurface heat (shown on page 12) is really building rapidly and mid-ocean there's one large section that's 4-6c above normal at depth.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf