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bucolic_frolic

(47,572 posts)
Thu Dec 12, 2024, 06:22 PM Dec 12

Henrik Zeberg: The Everything Market Bubble - Why & When It's Bursting

2025, according to this economist, Henrik Zeberg, Head Macro Economist at Swissblock, will be a very difficult year. Recession begins in January. Posted for information only, not for advice, do not act on the basis of one, some, or any opinion. Do your own due diligence.These are bearish, pessimistic videos. There sure could be some January click bait involved.





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Henrik Zeberg: The Everything Market Bubble - Why & When It's Bursting (Original Post) bucolic_frolic Dec 12 OP
Rec for discussion and have not watched the videos, I know market breadth has been declining ... cliffside Dec 13 #1
This guy really goes into details for 2025. The Trump Bubble. Inflation ahead. bucolic_frolic Dec 14 #2

cliffside

(520 posts)
1. Rec for discussion and have not watched the videos, I know market breadth has been declining ...
Fri Dec 13, 2024, 09:41 PM
Dec 13

speaking of the NYSE Summation index, mostly involved with rental properties and CD's now. When I looked at charts, read parts of Edwards and Magee book, realized the link between markets and politics it was eye opening.

I first started looking at the markets in the late 90's when the IRA suddenly made a large advances, lucked out selling and buying back a couple of times. But, I lucked out as my entrance into paying attention to the markets was in late '99, divergences had been occurring for several years, unbeknownst to me, until people started posting charts on a few message boards. I had no clue what time the market opened and was ready at 8 am with my newly established trading account, after waiting for an hour and a half, bell rang at 9:30... got it. I realized how much politics played a role when the Congress decided to vote for the Iraq war, that was the bottom in 2002, the exact day. Looking at historical charts was helpful, the large consolidation phase in the 60's-early 80's.

https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/historical/

Now I'm not sure where the top might be, but the yearly, daily moves in prices are unsustainable.
I did look at the daily candle on the Q's today, a pause possibly, is a daily candle.

I've learned some things and still know nothing in the big scheme of finance. One thing I do know is the big money protects their gains.
Appreciate the videos and a further discussion, especially for those who are reaching retirement and have significant gains. After I sold the IRA last day of March 2000 and listened to people on CNBC, Peter Welch of Fidelity Magellan Fund as an example, tell investors to just stay invested while the NDX dropped significantly, it was enlightening.

I say all this as it depends on one's age, agility and earning power going forward. Markets have a few cycles, accumulation, markup, distribution etc. from an old article I printed.

bucolic_frolic

(47,572 posts)
2. This guy really goes into details for 2025. The Trump Bubble. Inflation ahead.
Sat Dec 14, 2024, 04:58 PM
Dec 14

Trade wars, wars, manufacturing problems.

January Will Be ‘Hell For Investors’: ‘Sell Of A Generation’ Warns Fund Manager | Felix Zulauf

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