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mahatmakanejeeves

(70,216 posts)
Sat Apr 18, 2026, 05:15 PM 12 hrs ago

Actual factory output is up sharply and may be picking up speed, even though factory jobs have slid steadily.

The Wall Street Journal
‪@wsj.com‬

Actual factory output is up sharply and may be picking up speed, even though factory jobs have slid steadily. Credit the most basic economic force of all: demand. on.wsj.com/3QLrgVU

Actual factory output is up sharply and may be picking up speed, even though factory jobs have slid steadily. Credit the most basic economic force of all: demand, writes @greg_ip
Actual factory output is up sharply and may be picking up speed, even though factory jobs have slid steadily. Credit the most basic economic force of all: demand.
on.wsj.com
12:54 PM · Apr 18, 2026

Actual factory output is up sharply and may be picking up speed, even though factory jobs have slid steadily. Credit the most basic economic force of all: demand. on.wsj.com/3QLrgVU

The Wall Street Journal (@wsj.com) 2026-04-18T16:54:32.281259Z


Capital Account

America Is in the Middle of a Stealth Manufacturing Boom

Factory jobs are down, but factory output has risen briskly. Credit goes not to tariffs, but to the most basic economic force of all: demand.


A technician works at an Amazon Web Services AI data center.
U.S. production of equipment to support the artificial-intelligence revolution is booming. Noah Berger/Associated Press

By Greg Ip
April 18, 2026 12:00 pm ET

You won’t hear this from either critics or fans of President Trump’s tariffs, but there’s a manufacturing revival going on.

The reason you haven’t heard is that it doesn’t easily fit either political narrative. Critics have focused on the fact that factory jobs have steadily slid since Trump took office last year.

{snip}

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Actual factory output is up sharply and may be picking up speed, even though factory jobs have slid steadily. (Original Post) mahatmakanejeeves 12 hrs ago OP
That wouldn't seem to indicate that we are near a recession like I keep hearing MichMan 11 hrs ago #1
Didn't manufacturing drop in March? Ilikepurple 11 hrs ago #2
I wish I could include more of the article. mahatmakanejeeves 10 hrs ago #3

Ilikepurple

(741 posts)
2. Didn't manufacturing drop in March?
Sat Apr 18, 2026, 06:30 PM
11 hrs ago

I think the “goodness” of this news might be overstated. A 2.3% increase in 15 months is not really indicative of a sharp rise, especially if this increase is in a dollar amount not adjusted for inflation. That it hasn’t retracted is good news, but to paint a 7.7% manufacturing rise in computers and electronics in a market that has seen a 40.5% rise in imports. Some of this rise both foreign and domestic is surely related in the increase of data center capacity, but I am also guessing there has been an outsized inflationary impact on this sector because demand has raised some component costs much higher than inflation. I’m not saying the analysis here is wrong, but the article only provides enough information for “may be picking up speed” part of the headline. Greg Ip is obviously much more qualified to provide an analysis, but I hesitate to totally buy into his WSJ narratives (such as The Iran War Is Making the American Economy More Dominant Than Ever). When he starts talking about increased investment in plants and equipment in the sector, I’ll listen a bit closer.

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