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muriel_volestrangler

(106,552 posts)
Sat May 9, 2026, 07:35 AM Saturday

Surname alphabetical order influences voting in elections with multiple votes?

For my borough council, it happened that we had 2 councillors to elect for the ward, this year. When I looked at the results, I found that for the four parties that each put up two candidates, all of them got between 5% and 24% more votes for their first named candidate, compared to their second - the results, and the ballot paper, were ordered alphabetically by candidate surname.

Could be coincidence (I can say the first-named Lib Dem is a long-standing councillor, so it wouldn't be that surprising if he got a few votes for him and not the other, if he's done a good job). But now I looked at Stevenage (where I grew up), and again there was one ward with a double election - St. Nicholas. And again, all 5 parties had their first-named candidate getting between 8% and 30% more votes than their second. And in this case it was a tight contest between Labour and Reform - and Reform's first candidate came above Labour's second, both alphabetically and in votes:

Matthew Hurst Reform UK 666 - Elected (2 year term)
Ian Marshall Reform UK 616
Claire Parris Labour and Co-operative Party 716 - Elected (4 year term)
Carolina Cristina Veres Labour and Co-operative Party 590

Again, it could be coincidence, but with 9 out of 9 cases favouring the first-named candidate, I think it's more like a pattern. I think there have been a significant number of people thinking they only have one vote (despite it being explained to them verbally and on the ballot paper), and giving it to the top-named candidate for their preferred party. And in the Stevenage case, that may have made the difference between 2 Labour candidates getting elected from the ward, and the (surprising, unless again there happens to be a marked local preference for a candidate) split decision that actually happened.

Anyone else know of wards electing multiple people (especially, as in these 2 cases, where most of the council was electing just one per ward, meaning the "you get 2 (or 3) votes" message may not have been so widely publicised?

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Surname alphabetical order influences voting in elections with multiple votes? (Original Post) muriel_volestrangler Saturday OP
You heard it here first: "Easy as ABC: voters in England tend to pick names nearer top of ballot, data suggests" muriel_volestrangler Yesterday #1

muriel_volestrangler

(106,552 posts)
1. You heard it here first: "Easy as ABC: voters in England tend to pick names nearer top of ballot, data suggests"
Wed May 13, 2026, 05:55 AM
Yesterday
Exclusive [ed: ???]: Where parties fielded multiple candidates in last week’s vote, those at top of list were more likely to be picked

Fancy your chances in politics? Then perhaps you should change your name to Aaron Aaronson or Aaliyah Aardvark, figures from last week’s local elections in England suggest.

A Guardian analysis of election results compiled by the website Democracy Club points to a striking alphabet effect. In wards where a party fielded three candidates, those listed nearer the top of the ballot paper – with a surname nearer the start of the alphabet – finished ahead of their party colleagues in 2,200 cases, or 65% of the time.

By contrast, candidates listed third out of their party’s list – with a surname nearer the end of the alphabet – topped their party’s slate only 382 times, or 11%. If ballot order had no relationship with performance, the figures would be expected to fall much closer to one-third in each position.

The figures show that out of the main parties in England, Reform had the strongest relationship between where candidates placed among their party colleagues, and the initials of their surname. About 74% of alphabetically advantaged Reform candidates topped their party’s vote, compared with fewer than 8% of Reform candidates nearest the bottom of the ballot paper. The Green party had the second-strongest surname effect, followed by Labour.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/may/13/voters-england-pick-names-nearer-top-ballot-data-suggests
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