10 years of ballot measure polling in Washington suggests Brian Heywood and Jim Walsh's slate has rotten prospects

Election Day 2024 is right around the corner, and for the first time in four years, Washingtonians are voting on a set of binding ballot measures. They’re all funded by a Republican multimillionaire named Brian Heywood and mostly sponsored by Republican Party Chair Jim Walsh. The four measures would raise Washingtonians’ costs — we’re talking higher energy bills, higher childcare expenses, higher mobility costs, and higher sums for long-term care. We urge you to vote NO on all of them.

The four are:

Initiative 2066 — locks our communities into dirty energy while raising families’ costs (qualified July 24th, 2024)
Initiative 2109 — repeals billions in education funding by eliminating the capital gains tax on the wealthy (qualified January 23rd, 2024)
Initiative 2117 — repeals the Climate Commitment Act, which is raising funds to fight climate damage (qualified January 16th, 2024)
Initiative 2124 — sabotages the WA Cares plan to help Washingtonians afford long-term care (qualified January 25th, 2024)

Journalists, activists, and voters may be wondering what the odds of these initiatives passing are. The short answer is that their prospects are mostly rotten, which is very good news for Washington State. But what underpins NPI’s assessment? After all, the available polling suggests that for at least some of the measures, voters are undecided. And undecided voters are capable of breaking in any direction.

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We know from experience that when a ballot measure’s official description doesn’t prompt voters to offer enthusiastic initial support, the measure often doesn’t survive. We also know that when a measure faces a well-organized opposition making strong and effective arguments, as this year’s crop do, undecided voters tend to vote no.

https://www.nwprogressive.org/weblog/2024/11/ten-years-of-ballot-measure-polling-in-washington-suggests-brian-heywood-and-jim-walshs-destructive-slate-has-rotten-prospects.html