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How the biggest Republican stronghold in Texas could cost Gov. Abbott his job
There are good number of hard core Democrats who have been working for a long time to turn Texas blue. We are making progress due to some fun demographic trends and some hard work. Texas has been trending blue for a while. There are fun demographic trends that combine the fact that Texas is becoming less rural and that more older GOP voters are dying and are being replaced by younger more democratic voters. In addition, there is a region of Texas called the "Blue Spine" which is basically a corridor that runs from San Antonio to Dallas that is becoming a strong hold. These demographic trends may flip Texas in 2022
Link to tweet
https://www.houstonchronicle.com/politics/election/2022/article/texas-gop-stronghold-beto-abbott-17411261.php?utm_medium=referral&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=socialflow
A surge of Democratic-leaning voter registrations over the last four years has turned Harris County bluer and made the suburbs along Interstate 35 into a blue spine that went big for O’Rourke in 2018 and Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential race.....
900,000 new voters in ‘Blue Spine’
In 2018, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz beat O’Rourke by just 215,000 votes, and more than half of that margin coming from the Panhandle and South Plains, where Cruz won 3 out of every 4 voters. Cruz beat O’Rourke by 124,000 votes in those regions.
But in the four years since, those 46 counties have added just 10,000 voters, while there are more than 900,000 more in the 23 counties along the urbanizing and diversifying blue spine and Harris County, Texas Secretary of State data shows.
If O’Rourke can raise turnout and win the majority of those new voters in increasingly Democratic territory, 30 years of Red State dominance could be in the hands of those South Plains and Panhandle voters, and how much they want to defend Gov. Greg Abbott, a two-term governor.
900,000 new voters in ‘Blue Spine’
In 2018, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz beat O’Rourke by just 215,000 votes, and more than half of that margin coming from the Panhandle and South Plains, where Cruz won 3 out of every 4 voters. Cruz beat O’Rourke by 124,000 votes in those regions.
But in the four years since, those 46 counties have added just 10,000 voters, while there are more than 900,000 more in the 23 counties along the urbanizing and diversifying blue spine and Harris County, Texas Secretary of State data shows.
If O’Rourke can raise turnout and win the majority of those new voters in increasingly Democratic territory, 30 years of Red State dominance could be in the hands of those South Plains and Panhandle voters, and how much they want to defend Gov. Greg Abbott, a two-term governor.
Beto has held a ton of events in West Texas and smaller counties and has generated good crowds who are supporting Beto
If Texas turns blue, there is no way that the GOP will be competitve in the electoral college
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