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FakeNoose

(36,031 posts)
Thu Nov 10, 2022, 06:13 PM Nov 2022

Close races put Pennsylvania House majority control in limbo as Democrats take 1-seat lead



(link) https://www.post-gazette.com/news/election2022/2022/11/10/midterms-2022-elections-pa-house-majority-democrats-republicans-swing-districts-races/stories/202211100112

HARRISBURG — Partisan control of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives remained up in the air Thursday, two days after 101 Democrats and 100 Republicans were elected, leaving two races in swing districts still unresolved.

Both of the seats are held by Republicans in the General Assembly session that ends later this month. It may be weeks before county elections officials finish vote counting to determine winners.

Democratic leaders expressed confidence Wednesday they had wrested back majority control of the House for the first time in 12 years. But two of their successful re-election candidates also won races this week for Congress and lieutenant governor, while a third died in early October.

All three are from Allegheny County. Summer Lee, who won the race for the U.S. House 12th District also ran unopposed in her state House 34th District race. Austin Davis, the lieutenant governor-elect, ran unopposed in his state House 35th District race, and Anthony DeLuca, who died in early October but whose name was still on the ballot because they already had been printed, won his seat against Green Party candidate Queonia Livingston.


- more at link -

What a nice gift for Governor-elect Shapiro!

Thanks to all Pennsylvania Democrats - we are the best.

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RussellCattle

(1,787 posts)
1. Got to love Pennsylvanians lately. Way to go, P.A. Nice photo of their capitol too. Quite a nice...
Thu Nov 10, 2022, 06:22 PM
Nov 2022

....building, especially when compared to some truly horrible state capitols around the country.

https://www.thrillist.com/travel/nation/worst-state-capitol-buildings

BumRushDaShow

(144,310 posts)
3. The House Dems had a presser announcing this outside of Independence Hall
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 06:00 AM
Nov 2022



PA House Dems
@PAHDCC
·
Follow
Pennsylvania, your next Speaker of the House: @Joanna4PA
Image
1:41 PM · Nov 9, 2022


Am hoping this will come to fruition. We so need this here to send a message.

The redistricting after the census for the state legislature that went on behind the scenes and was little talked about, shows the big difference from 2010. In 2010, the map was gerrymandered under a GOP governor, GOP legislature, and GOP-majority state Supreme Court. Even when the old map was challenged in court, it was only modified around the fringes but still severely gerrymandered with its final 2012 version.

THIS go-around, we had a Democratic governor and (D)-majority state Supreme Court and they were able to get the crap 2012 map closer to fair districts in 2021. It was expected that Democrats would pick up some long-denied seats to reflect our still-majority registration advantage, but the prevailing "Dems-suck and are unenthusiastic" media narrative pretty much pooh-poohed any possibility of us taking control of what became a large number of swing seats, instead implying they would remain in GOP hands. This was basically the media buying into the nonsense that "land votes" and actual people living there are just ancillary because "red swaths" were assumed to represents millions of GOP votes and not the actual thousands of dairy cows or elk.

I.e., the "red mirage" thinking that has been infused in the media, masked the reality on the ground.

Deminpenn

(16,348 posts)
4. The expectation was Dems would pick up seats because
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 06:26 AM
Nov 2022

house districts shifted from the declining population west to the growing population east. The idea that Dems could flip the state House was talked about, but as more of a long shot than a realistic one.

This is why state House majority R leader Kerry Benninghoff threw a hissy fit and was the lone no vote for approving (4-1) the legislative redistricting map drawn by the commission of which he was a part. The commission made just marginal changes to the state senate map so R senate leader Kim Ward was happy and voted to approve.

BumRushDaShow

(144,310 posts)
5. Yup - I literally got redistricted and had no idea
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 09:31 AM
Nov 2022

until I started getting primary election materials and newsletters from a Rep. I had never heard of. I've literally lived in the same district (with various Reps during that time, and after a couple residence moves) for almost 30 years, and suddenly boom! I'm literally a block from the new line and scraped into an adjacent district.

The incumbent, a (D), ended up getting primaried this past spring, so we are all starting from scratch.

The gerrymandered state legislative seats, even when challenged and slightly modified in 2012, were still an egregious gerrymander thanks to the trifecta the GOP had in state government (including the judiciary). We are finally getting the benefit of "fair districts" by having some "say" thanks to a (D) governor and (D)-majority state Supreme Court during a census period.

As an interesting note - one of the seats moved to the east ended up in Lancaster County so Lancaster was able to now have 2 (D)s coming out of the county (including a new one from the city proper).

FakeNoose

(36,031 posts)
6. The Repukes fought redistricting until the very last minute
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 01:21 PM
Nov 2022

There was barely time to notify anyone about the district map changes, precinct polling, etc., because it didn't become official until just before the election. For all I know they're still fighting it, not that it matters anymore.

BumRushDaShow

(144,310 posts)
7. I just saw an article that AP called the 144th District for the Democrat
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 01:47 PM
Nov 2022
Democrat Munroe wins 144th state House district, flipping the seat


By Emily Rizzo Updated Nov. 11, 2022 12:18 pm



Democrat Brian Munroe has won the race for the 144th state House District seat in Bucks County, according to the Associated Press. He declared victory on Wednesday. The AP called the race on Thursday evening.

“With a 400-plus-vote lead and knowing the few outstanding votes that are still out there… there’s really no clear path to make up or to overtake that 400-vote lead,” Munroe said in an interview with WHYY News Wednesday evening.

He unseated Republican incumbent Todd Polinchock and his win could contribute to changing the balance of power in the state House of Representatives.

Democrats have won 101 seats in the state House and need only one more to take the majority for the first time since 2010 (although they’ve already claimed the win).

(snip)

https://whyy.org/articles/election-2022-brian-munroe-144th-state-house-district/


There was one in Montco - the 151st that was still outstanding and that one seems to have the higher (D) potential as a swing seat.

Deminpenn

(16,348 posts)
8. HD 142 and 151 are both very close
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 02:08 PM
Nov 2022

Todd Stephens is the R incumbent in the 151st. He led by 26 in the last update I could find. MontCo still has mailed ballots that need further examination to determine the voter's intent, provisional ballots and overseas/military ballots to count, but don't know how many of those are in the 151st. There might be military ballots as HD 151 abuts Joint Base (formerly NAS) Willow Grove.

Matt Moffa lead by 2 votes in the 142nd at the last update I could find.

BumRushDaShow

(144,310 posts)
9. Yeah I have been watching those and posted about them in another thread
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 02:21 PM
Nov 2022

because I had to see where the heck they were! I also added voter registration stats to the post from the SOS site (as of yesterday's release) -

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1074&pid=17864

Deminpenn

(16,348 posts)
10. For comparison, in HD 142 in the
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 05:14 PM
Nov 2022

primary, about half of Moffa's vote was from mailed in ballots. If there are any of those left to count in this HD, those probably favor Moffa. In any event, this race will qualify for a recount.

BumRushDaShow

(144,310 posts)
11. I heard on the radio earlier this afternoon
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 07:58 PM
Nov 2022

that confirmed what I had suspected before but that despite the narrative of "Democrats use mail ballots" (implying "only" ) and "Republicans vote in person" (again implying "only" ), the report was that about 70% of the voters here in Philly voted "in person".


KYW Newsradio | News |Local

Pa. election officials point to why races were called faster than in 2020

“2020 is not a good gauge of anything,” a state official said about the election with the COVID-19 pandemic raging

By Pat Loeb, KYW Newsradio
KYW Newsradio
an hour ago

PHILADELPHIA (KYW Newsradio) — Pennsylvania and Philadelphia officials had warned voters that results from Tuesday’s elections might take days to finalize. But in fact, the winners of the statewide races were declared within five hours of the polls closing, much faster than expected.

In 2020 with the COVID-19 pandemic raging, 2.6 million Pennsylvanians voted by mail, according to Department of State Deputy Secretary for Elections and Commissions Jonathan Marks.

“2020 is not a good gauge of anything,” he said. This time around, the number was less than half the 2020 total.

In Philadelphia, mail-in ballots went from nearly 400,000 in 2020 to 133,000 this year, as more than 70% of voters went to the polls on Election Day.

(snip)

https://www.audacy.com/kywnewsradio/news/local/pennsylvania-2022-election-race-called-quicker-2020


Since we had pretty much all of our polling locations back and available (vs 2020 when we only had maybe a quarter of them), then people went back to business as usual and voted in person. I did the mail ballot anyway just to get my vote banked early.
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