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TexasTowelie

(117,550 posts)
Sun May 6, 2018, 03:34 PM May 2018

Democratic edge is holding

There’s another poll that shows the Democratic advantage is holding in North Carolina. The Survey USA poll done for Spectrum News shows Democrats have an edge in the generic ballots for both Congress and legislature. It also shows that Trump is unpopular in the state while Roy Cooper has honeymoon-like approval numbers.

In the poll, the Democratic advantage in legislative races is most stark. Forty-four percent of the people say they would vote for a Democrat if the election were held tomorrow. Thirty-seven percent prefer a Republican. Independents choose a Democrat by a fourteen point margin.

Those numbers look like the makings of a wave. Other polls have shown an enthusiasm gap that heavily favors Democrats. If the middle breaks for Democrats by double digits, and the GOP has even a slightly depressed turnout, Democrats will have a big night in November. There’s a long way to go and a whole legislative session to change those numbers, though.

In the Congressional ballot, Democrats have a much more narrow margin. Voters favor them by only three points, 44% to 41%. Still, the independents prefer a Democrat by nine points and the poll also shows a significant gender gap. Women prefer a Democrat by an eight point margin while men prefer a Republican by two. That’s a ten point gap. Women seem to be motivated this cycle.

Read more: https://www.politicsnc.com/democratic-edge-is-holding/

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