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nitpicker

(7,153 posts)
Mon Aug 29, 2016, 04:38 AM Aug 2016

TD 8 (may become Hermione) forecast to brush NC Outer Banks

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC AL082016
532 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2016
(snip)

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CARTERET...OUTER
BANKS DARE AND OUTER BANKS HYDE

* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BUXTON NC OR ABOUT 260 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MOREHEAD CITY NC
- 32.6N 73.0W
- STORM INTENSITY 35 MPH
- MOVEMENT WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT...LOCATED ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE
HATTERAS, IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION INTO TUESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE WILL PASS OFFSHORE OF THE
NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME,
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT.

THE PRIMARY IMPACT WILL BE HEAVY RAIN AND THE THREAT FOR LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING, MAINLY ALONG THE OUTER BANKS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO 5 INCHES
POSSIBLE.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST, MAINLY
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET. THESE WINDS COULD LEAD TO SOME
DOWNED TREES.

MINOR STORM SURGE FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH WATER LEVELS 1 TO 2 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. THIS WOULD MAINLY BE OVER THE AREAS ADJACENT TO
THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND AND BEACHES NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
- MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE
SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
- SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS
ANTICIPATED.

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA
INCLUDE:
- LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG
IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS
FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
- SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD
WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE
SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
- MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY
IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP CURRENTS.
- MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS,
AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS
ANTICIPATED.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS.
SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME SWOLLEN
AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY
VULNERABLE SPOTS. A FEW PLACES WHERE RAPID PONDING OF WATER
OCCURS AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. SEVERAL STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME
NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE
CLOSURES.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS
ANTICIPATED.
(snip)

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