Kamala Harris expands lead over Donald Trump in two NH polls: Experts explain why

DURHAM — Vice President Kamala Harris is expanding her lead over former President Donald Trump in New Hampshire, according to two new polls out of the University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College.

Harris now leads Trump by seven points in the two polls: 50% to 43% in an Aug. 21 poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, and 51% to 44% in an Aug. 19 poll conducted by Saint Anselm College Survey Center at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics. In polls conducted in July by both colleges, Harris had led Trump by six points.

Harris’ favorability has also increased from July in both polls, while Trump's has remained mostly the same. Now, according to the UNH poll, nearly half of New Hampshire voters expect Harris to win in November, while just a quarter thought President Joe Biden would win re-election before his withdrawal, according to a poll taken in July.

Andrew Smith, director of the UNH Survey Center, said Harris’ current lead is similar to Biden's margin of victory over Trump in 2020 and reflects a return to “business as usual” in the Granite State.

“I think it reflects the basic layout of Democrats and Republicans in the state,” said Smith. “The replacement of Biden with Harris has obviously motivated Democrats to the point where I think any sort of advantage that Trump might have had has disappeared or back to the status quo ante.”




https://www.seacoastonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/24/kamala-harris-expands-lead-over-donald-trump-two-nh-polls/74917335007/