Iowa

progressoid

(50,787 posts) Sun Nov 3, 2024, 12:02 PM Nov 3

MORE GOOD NEWS from that poll?

Iowa Poll: Democrats are preferred over Republicans in 2 of 4 congressional districts

KEY POINTS

--Statewide, voters virtually tie in preference for a Democrat or a Republican for the U.S. House of Representatives, 45% to 44%.
--By a 16-point margin, likely Iowa voters prefer a Democrat over a Republican in the 1st District, where Democrat Christina Bohannan and Republican U.S. Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks are competing.
--By a 7-point advantage, likely voters prefer a Democrat over a Republican in the 3rd District, where Democrat Lanon Baccam is challenging Republican U.S. Rep. Zach Nunn.

With Election Day fast-approaching, likely Iowa voters now prefer a Democrat over a Republican for Congress in two of Iowa’s four congressional districts, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

The poll shows Democrats with an advantage in the 1st and 3rd congressional districts, which have been highly competitive this year, while voters prefer Republican candidates in the 2nd and 4th districts.

All four of Iowa’s congressional seats are held by Republicans.

The poll shows a slight plurality of likely voters statewide prefer a Democrat over a Republican for the U.S. House of Representatives, 45% to 44%. ...

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/03/iowa-poll-democrats-preferred-over-republicans-congress-nunn-baccam-miller-meeks-bohannan-hinson/75988058007/

6 replies

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Highlight:

MORE GOOD NEWS from that poll? (Original Post) progressoid Nov 3 OP

We need seats! Dennis Donovan Nov 3 #1

There's an abortion rights measure on the ballot central scrutinizer Nov 3 #2

previously competitive districts ? stopdiggin Nov 3 #3

Kind of hard to quantify since they redrew the district borders but progressoid Nov 3 #4

get what you're saying stopdiggin Nov 3 #5

I can't say personally cuz progressoid Nov 3 #6

Dennis Donovan

(27,400 posts)

1. We need seats!

Reply to progressoid (Original post)

Sun Nov 3, 2024, 12:12 PM

Nov 3

Two Dem flips would be nice!

central scrutinizer

(12,441 posts)

2. There's an abortion rights measure on the ballot

Reply to progressoid (Original post)

Sun Nov 3, 2024, 12:14 PM

Nov 3

Another manifestation of Roevember?

stopdiggin

(13,005 posts)

3. previously competitive districts ?

Reply to progressoid (Original post)

Sun Nov 3, 2024, 12:18 PM

Nov 3

are now suddenly showing 7 and 16% Democratic advantage .. ? When did this happen?

progressoid

(50,787 posts)

4. Kind of hard to quantify since they redrew the district borders but

Reply to stopdiggin (Reply #3)

Sun Nov 3, 2024, 12:40 PM

Nov 3

IA has had a few races that are nail biters in the past. It is seen as red but for a few votes here and there, we would still be purple. A few month ago the DCCC saw there was movement and dumped some money in IA (THANKFULLY). It's kind of sad these have been written off as red in the past. We lost the 2nd by 6 (yes, six) votes in 2020. Media ignored it because the orange anus took up all the media oxygen.

edited to add that Zach Nunn and MMM are colossal douche nozzles.

stopdiggin

(13,005 posts)

5. get what you're saying

Reply to progressoid (Reply #4)

Sun Nov 3, 2024, 12:49 PM

Nov 3

it was pretty friggin red when I was there - - and, honestly, I wouldn't have thought redistricting was going to help very much. And, yes - Obama - but then in honesty you have to look at the horror of the way IA treated of Biden and Hilary ... Neither of which offer anything like encouragement. And pretty hard to excuse (IMHO)

But I will bow to someone with greater and more current knowledge ... Do you think Ds actually win one of those races by 16 ?

progressoid

(50,787 posts)

6. I can't say personally cuz

Reply to stopdiggin (Reply #5)

Sun Nov 3, 2024, 01:19 PM

Nov 3

I'm on the wrong side of the state. But I have a friend who is running for IA house seat and he's been talking to a lot of D, R, and Indy voters. He thinks we will break blue here. He sees a lot of dissatisfaction in voters.

I'm not so optimistic but that's just my nature. Regardless, I heading out the door to do some more canvassing!!

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