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BumRushDaShow

(167,460 posts)
Fri Feb 13, 2026, 08:33 AM Yesterday

Consumer prices rose 2.4% annually in January, less than expected

Source: CNBC

Published Fri, Feb 13 2026 8:32 AM EST Updated 9 Min Ago


The cost of goods and services rose at a slower annual rate than expected in January, providing hope that the nagging U.S. inflation problem could be starting to ease.

The consumer price index for January accelerated 2.4% from the same time a year ago, down 0.3 percentage point from the prior month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. That pulled the inflation rate down to where it was the month after President Donald Trump in April 2025 announced aggressive tariffs on U.S. imports.

Excluding food and energy, core CPI also was up 2.5%. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an annual rate of 2.5% for both readings.



On a monthly basis, the all-items index was up a seasonally adjusted 0.2% while core gained 0.3%. The forecast had been 0.3% for both.

Read more: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/13/cpi-inflation-report-january-2026.html



From the source - https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

Article updated.

Previous article -

Published Fri, Feb 13 2026 8:32 AM EST Updated 2 Min Ago


The cost of goods and services rose at a slower annual rate than expected in January, providing hope that the nagging U.S. inflation problem could be starting to ease.

The consumer price index for January accelerated 2.4% from the same time a year ago, pulling the inflation rate down to where it was the month after President Donald Trump in April 2025 announced aggressive tariffs on U.S. imports.

Excluding food and energy, core CPI also was up 2.5%. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an annual rate of 2.5% for both readings.

On a monthly basis, the all-items index was up 0.2% while core gained 0.3%. The forecast had been 0.3% for both.

This is breaking news. Please refresh for updates.



Original article -

Published Fri, Feb 13 2026 8:32 AM EST


The consumer price index was expected to increase 2.5% from a year ago in January, according to the Dow Jones consensus.


This is breaking news. Please refresh for updates.
19 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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progree

(12,828 posts)
2. From the source
Fri Feb 13, 2026, 08:43 AM
Yesterday

BLS news release: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

CPI data series: https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0

Click on More Formatting Options on the upper right

On the page that appears, check the following checkboxes:
Original Data Value
1-Month Percent Change
3-Month Percent Change
12-Month Percent Change

One might also want to change the date range from the default 2016 - 2026 to say 2023 - 2026

Click the "Retrieve Data" button

On the page that appears is the tables and graphs for all of these on one page

Core CPI data series: http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0L1E

KPN

(17,220 posts)
13. So question progree because I really appreciate
Fri Feb 13, 2026, 01:11 PM
23 hrs ago

your posts for their knowledge-based observations re economic stats and dynamics:

Do you think this administration may be manipulating economic data or computational methods in any extraordinary way to reflect more positively on itself than the data might otherwise? , Having been a career federal employee/manager, I have a really difficult time believing this administration is above that.

groundloop

(13,664 posts)
7. tRump's BLS is not a reliable source of information.
Fri Feb 13, 2026, 10:10 AM
Yesterday

He has them under his thumb, the director doesn't want to be fired like his predecessor was for releasing data which was unflattering to tRump.

wolfie001

(7,402 posts)
10. Funny that some posters are bragging about the professionalism at the BLS right here at DU
Fri Feb 13, 2026, 11:48 AM
Yesterday

Funny, not funny. I mean, they all (the ones that haven't left/retired in protest) have a gun to their heads. tRUMP and his nazi cabal have total control. All of their data sets can be manipulated by any means necessary. I mean, does anyone here think a fair election will ever happen in Texas and Florida with the rePUKES ability to cook the voting data? Denial and the river in Egypt STAT!!!

Igel

(37,448 posts)
16. Just got coffee from the local grocery store on Tuesday.
Fri Feb 13, 2026, 02:45 PM
21 hrs ago

It was not $6.50 back on 1/2/2025. It's up rather a lot, but not double.

wolfie001

(7,402 posts)
18. I'm in Maryland and the price of a 10 oz Maxwell House is $10.99
Fri Feb 13, 2026, 03:15 PM
20 hrs ago

It was about $4.99 at the start of 2025. Bustelo's vacuum 12oz coffee brick has more than doubled. I used to get it on sale for 2/$7. Now the sale price is $6.99, regular $10.99. Etc.. etc........ tRUMP, of course has attacked Colombia and Brazil driving up prices because he's a fucking douchebag diaper-wearing ass-wipe.

progree

(12,828 posts)
19. The CPI has food and energy. The core CPI doesn't. The OP article headlines the CPI, and
Fri Feb 13, 2026, 03:55 PM
20 hrs ago

presents both the CPI and core CPI in the narrative and the graphs. As do I in my posts.

The Fed considers the core CPI to be the best predictor of FUTURE inflation, and I don't disagree, and I don't know of any economists that disagree -- these things are backtested.

But what people experience is the regular (all items) CPI (assuming its being done honestly, and even then there is plenty of margin of error).

Actually the not-seasonally adjusted version that so far hasn't been presented anywhere in the thread is the closest to what people experience (again assuming honesty in the numbers). Sometimes there's quite a difference between the not-seasonally-adjusted and the seasonally adjusted.

Here's an example from Retail Sales:
LBN Thread: https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143614155
the seasonal adjustment process turned a 10.9% increase to a 0.0% increase in December (remember it's the Christmas month ho ho ho)

[] Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade and Food Services (MARTSMPCSM44X72USN), Not Seasonally Adjusted: +10.9% == https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MARTSMPCSM44X72USN

[] Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade and Food Services (MARTSMPCSM44X72USS), Seasonally Adjusted: +-0.0% == https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MARTSMPCSM44X72USS

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