Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

lees1975

(7,096 posts)
Sat Apr 18, 2026, 06:23 PM 11 hrs ago

How believable are the polling numbers being reported?

With the media under control of billionaires benefitting from the handouts they get from Trump, are his job approval poll numbers believable? I take every news story I watch with a grain of salt, and then some. Even MSNOW gives me pause, compared to independent media sources. My guess is that he's 25% nationally.

They're going to try and make some kind of statistical case for the upcoming election to be free and fair. It won't be. Democrats are too busy flitting here and there with their fundraising to do anything about the fact that they are going to have votes stolen from under their noses. That will make the pollsters look right again.

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
How believable are the polling numbers being reported? (Original Post) lees1975 11 hrs ago OP
Say WHAT!!!? sheshe2 11 hrs ago #1
OK. So what's being done? lees1975 6 hrs ago #7
For starters you could watch the news. sheshe2 6 hrs ago #10
I will add... sheshe2 5 hrs ago #12
This message was self-deleted by its author sheshe2 6 hrs ago #9
I don't put any stock in polls..I don't click on to any questionnaire so my opinion is not going to who knows where Deuxcents 11 hrs ago #2
You mean the majority of polls showing Dems on track for record victories? Maru Kitteh 11 hrs ago #3
Yes. lees1975 6 hrs ago #6
Then how is it that you explain the recent, record Dem victories Maru Kitteh 5 hrs ago #11
They are not polling enough independents. everyonematters 10 hrs ago #4
Everything is a lie. spanone 10 hrs ago #5
His popularity is still high with MAGA Johonny 6 hrs ago #8

sheshe2

(97,892 posts)
1. Say WHAT!!!?
Sat Apr 18, 2026, 06:30 PM
11 hrs ago
Democrats are too busy flitting here and there with their fundraising to do anything about the fact that they are going to have votes stolen from under their noses.


JHC

sheshe2

(97,892 posts)
10. For starters you could watch the news.
Sat Apr 18, 2026, 11:35 PM
6 hrs ago

I suggest MS NOW starting a 4pm for good coverage.

You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make them drink. You need to your own research.

I can't do all your work for you.

Watch. Listen. Think.

sheshe2

(97,892 posts)
12. I will add...
Sun Apr 19, 2026, 12:16 AM
5 hrs ago

In case you haven't been listening.

‘A trend that can’t be ignored’: Dems have made up ground in nearly every election since Trump took office

In some other year, Analilia Mejia’s 20-point win in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District might have been a stunning result.

But the progressive organizer’s romp on Thursday elicited little shock, despite the margin in a district former Vice President Kamala Harris had carried by just 8 points.


It is a warning sign for Republicans that has continued to flash across the country every few weeks. Consistent overperformances in special elections have been an indicator of midterm shifts in the past, and the trend over the last 15 months is particularly strong. In the two-year cycle of special elections heading into 2018, margins shifted to the left in about two-thirds of special elections, according to The Downballot. In November of that year, Democrats netted 40 seats.

snip

“The overperformance across the country in special election after special election is a trend that can’t be ignored and proof that the American people are souring on Republicans’ broken promises,” Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee spokesperson Aidan Johnson said in a statement.


https://www.politico.com/news/2026/04/18/democrats-special-election-results-analysis-00879021



Response to sheshe2 (Reply #1)

Deuxcents

(27,268 posts)
2. I don't put any stock in polls..I don't click on to any questionnaire so my opinion is not going to who knows where
Sat Apr 18, 2026, 06:37 PM
11 hrs ago

Just this week, I talked with a person at a local shop that she runs and we got into a quick conversation and she told me she was interviewed by a local tv or radio station..complete with microphone and a couple of questions and she made up her responses. Good or bad, I don’t know if it’s what we should do but I did agree with her ad lib performance.

Maru Kitteh

(31,866 posts)
3. You mean the majority of polls showing Dems on track for record victories?
Sat Apr 18, 2026, 06:39 PM
11 hrs ago

Because they are currently. Those are the ones you are casting doubts upon?

Maru Kitteh

(31,866 posts)
11. Then how is it that you explain the recent, record Dem victories
Sun Apr 19, 2026, 12:09 AM
5 hrs ago

that are, by and large, outperforming even the outlier polls favoring Democrats? Because that’s happening. What’s the explanation for that if they are “puffing” for Trump? Can’t have it both ways.

everyonematters

(4,202 posts)
4. They are not polling enough independents.
Sat Apr 18, 2026, 06:53 PM
10 hrs ago

In their last poll, Gallup found that 45% are registered as independents. They are voting Democrat by 2:1. Most pollsters are counting them at about 35%. They are the ones who are going to be deciding elections for the foreseeable future. That's why their polls show us leading the mid terms by 4 - 6 points, but we are winning special elections by bigger margins.

Johonny

(26,343 posts)
8. His popularity is still high with MAGA
Sat Apr 18, 2026, 11:32 PM
6 hrs ago

In the sense they won't abandon him because their self worth is involved in pretending he's kicking ass. See Joe Rogan still willing to troll for him.

But with independents and Democrats he's in the toilet and they've flushed him. If we really hit the recession he so richly deserves, who knows.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»How believable are the po...