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spooky3

(38,679 posts) Tue Apr 7, 2026, 08:18 PM Tuesday

NYT gift link: (Georgia MTG seat) Shawn Harris (D) is within 10 pts

With about half the vote counted. This deep red district went by 37 percentage points for the orange menace. So any margin substantially less than that is a good thing for Dems, even if Harris does not win.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/04/07/us/election-wisconsin-georgia-special?unlocked_article_code=1.ZVA.npSI.5Dv0WCjRtXst&smid=nytcore-ios-share

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NYT gift link: (Georgia MTG seat) Shawn Harris (D) is within 10 pts (Original Post) spooky3 Tuesday OP

In any event, a massive shift away from recent GOP margins of victory Zambero Tuesday #1

NYT called it for the R (no surprise). The margin is now 12 percentage pts. spooky3 Tuesday #2

TY Spooky... why is the final vote now Cha Tuesday #5

This is the special election to fill MTG's seat and complete her term. Nt spooky3 Tuesday #6

Oh That's Right... I just thought of it Cha Tuesday #8

Mahalo for the Gift at NYT, Spookky... Cha Tuesday #3

Hi Cha! spooky3 Tuesday #4

Still 12% margin with 67% of the vote in. Nt spooky3 Tuesday #7

A little over 12% with 78% of the vote in. MTG's margin was spooky3 Tuesday #9

With 92% counted, the margin has increased to 14.4% but is still spooky3 Tuesday #10

With 95% in, margin is reduced to 12% again. Huge progress since 2024. Nt spooky3 Tuesday #11

I fair amount of her supporters crossed the line. David__77 Tuesday #12

Zambero

(9,993 posts)

1. In any event, a massive shift away from recent GOP margins of victory

Reply to spooky3 (Original post)

Tue Apr 7, 2026, 08:31 PM

Tuesday

+37% GOP in 2024, down to +12% (plus or minus) in 2026 = A GOP loss of 25% and therefore a GAIN of 25% for Dems in this deep red District. The nationwide trend should be apparent by now. Apply the results of this race and 30+ other special elections since 2025, and it's lights out MAGA-GOP. 'Nuff said!