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Miles Archer

(23,499 posts)
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 12:20 PM Apr 3

"Roughly half" of Iran's missile launchers and 1000s of drones remain intact after Grampy totally obliterated them

MeidasTouch

‪@meidastouch.com‬
But Trump said they were totally obliterated

But Trump said they were totally obliterated

MeidasTouch (@meidastouch.com) 2026-04-03T01:14:43.703Z
5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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"Roughly half" of Iran's missile launchers and 1000s of drones remain intact after Grampy totally obliterated them (Original Post) Miles Archer Apr 3 OP
tyrump lies, often and most of the time. republianmushroom Apr 3 #1
"I do not think that word means what he thinks it means" . . . . Journeyman Apr 3 #2
Geology as warfare: Iran put its missiles where physics, not diplomacy, keeps them safe LetMyPeopleVote Apr 3 #3
On Day 4 Hegseth said that 86% of missile caoacity was destroyed Prairie Gates Apr 3 #4
I think the softest targets are the Islamic Republic Humans gulliver Apr 3 #5

Journeyman

(15,458 posts)
2. "I do not think that word means what he thinks it means" . . . .
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 12:36 PM
Apr 3
(obligatory hat tip to Inigo Montoya)

LetMyPeopleVote

(180,291 posts)
3. Geology as warfare: Iran put its missiles where physics, not diplomacy, keeps them safe
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 02:03 PM
Apr 3

CNN satellite analysis and Alma Research findings show Iran’s underground tunnel cities, with internal rail systems that move missiles to blast-door exits, have survived the bombing campaign largely intact. The geology, analysts say, is the real defense.



https://www.thestatesman.com/world/iran-underground-missile-railway-tunnel-us-israel-strikes-operation-epic-fury-1503573121.html

Three weeks of intensive US and Israeli strikes on Iran’s ballistic missile infrastructure have destroyed radar systems, collapsed tunnel entrances, and cratered ventilation shafts across dozens of sites. Iran keeps firing. The reason, according to satellite analysis by CNN and assessments by Israeli security research centre Alma Research, lies not above the ground but hundreds of metres beneath it; inside a network of underground missile cities connected by internal railways, carved into mountains that no bomb in the current American or Israeli arsenal can fully reach.

Iran’s underground missile programme is not a recent improvisation. Reports that emerged as far back as 2020 claimed an automated railway system running through cavernous tunnels, transporting ballistic missiles between assembly halls, storage vaults, and blast-door exits. What is becoming clearer now, as Operation Epic Fury enters its fourth week, is the scale of what was built and the limits of what air power alone can do against it.....

The central constraint is geological, and it has now been publicly stated by Iran itself. Former IRGC Aerospace Force commander Brigadier General Amir Ali Hajizadeh said that Iran built its missile bases across provinces and cities at a depth of 500 metres.

The most powerful weapon the United States has for destroying hardened underground targets is the GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator – a 30,000-pound bomb built specifically for this purpose. It can penetrate “approximately 60 metres of reinforced concrete or roughly 40 metres of moderate rock. Granite is harder than moderate rock. Five hundred metres is more than twelve times the weapon’s maximum penetration depth. The gap between the bomb and the tunnel is not a margin of error.”....

“IRGC did not prepare for this war by building rockets. It prepared by building railways inside mountains. The rockets are replaceable. The railways are permanent. And the granite that protects them was formed before mammals existed. The strait is 21 miles wide. The mountain is 500 metres deep. And the railway inside it is still delivering missiles to the surface,” he added.


Iran has continued to fire ballistic missiles throughout Operation Epic Fury, including the attempted strike on the joint US-UK base at Diego Garcia. Trump has said the operation is running weeks ahead of schedule and that Iran’s military is finished. The satellite imagery and the institutional assessments tell a more complicated story: one in which the visible war, fought above ground, has made genuine progress, and the invisible war, fought half a kilometre underground, has barely begun.

Iran has been preparing for these attacks for decades. Iran's missile facilities are beyond reach of bunker buster bombs and there is no practical way without a very large number of troops to take out these missies.

Prairie Gates

(8,254 posts)
4. On Day 4 Hegseth said that 86% of missile caoacity was destroyed
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 02:08 PM
Apr 3

One day 34 there's still half of the capacity remaining.

This is like when 86% of the Viet Cong cadres in War Zone C were destroyed, only to reappear a month later in full strength. ("And if incidents of enemy activity in the larger area of War Zone C increased 'significantly,' and American casualties doubled, and then doubled again, it wasn't happening in any damn Ho Bo Woods, you better believe it." - Michael Herr, Dispatches)

gulliver

(14,008 posts)
5. I think the softest targets are the Islamic Republic Humans
Fri Apr 3, 2026, 02:12 PM
Apr 3

We can all agree that we want the Islamic Republic and IRGC to lose and lose big. The only question is how.

Ultimately, it's going to be up to the Iranian people to destroy their radical, patriarchal, homophobic theocratic Islamic Republic oppressors. If we can't get all of Iran's launchers, for example, from the air, it's up to the Iranian people to find the launch buttons and eliminate any IRGC Islamic Republic lowlife with fingers on those buttons.

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