Consensus was margins of victory were well below the election in November. About 30% win then, and,15% win yesterday. Progress at least.

They were two very red districts that were less red, but it doesn't really matter that much. These weren't particularly high profile seats and it's in a state that we as a party haven't invested in at the down ballot level. We threw a lot of money at these two seats, but that's not really different than when we did that for Texas governor or the Kentucky and South Carolina senate races in recent years. We need to rebuild the brand and that's not just high profile races. It's the down ballot stuff so they realize we aren't the Boogeyman when we run for high profile races

... the need to focus down ballot. I'm waiting to hear mofe from Pete Buttegieg about his remarks shortly after the election about going local.

Not enough to give the Democrats victories, but enough to close the gap from 2024.

It was entirely expected that there would be a significant drop in turn out for these special elections compared to the 2024 election, but the drop off was much greater for repubs.

More specifically, in the First District, the Repub candidate, Patronis, got 69% fewer votes than Matt Gaetz got in 2024, while the Democratic candidate, Gay Valimont, got only 49 percent fewer votes than she got in 2024.

Similarly, in the Sixth District, the Repub candidate, Randy Fine, got 61% fewer votes than Michael Waltz got in 2024, while the Democratic candidate, Josh Weil, got only 41 percent fewer votes than the Democratic candidate got in 2024.

The result was that instead of losing by 33% (first district) or 28% (sixth district), the two Democrats closed the margin to 14% - still a comfortable win but a big drop off for solidly red districts.

Pieced together the info below from various sites. A significant shift toward the Dems in what have been deep red areas. With voting shifts as significant as these, it does not bode well at all for republicans in purple or barely red areas.

Valimont lost by 14.6 percentage points in a district Trump won by 37 points, and she even flipped one of the counties in that district from red to blue, carrying that county by 3 percentage points -- a county Gaetz (who vacated the seat when Trump announced he'd nominate him for Attorney General) carried in the 2024 election by 14 percentage points.

Weil lost by 14 percentage points in a district Trump won by 30 percentage points and Waltz (the republican who vacated the seat to become national security advisor) won by 33 percentage points. 

Historically the party that won and now controls everything looses voter % in the following election and normally looses the lower houses. Clinton lost congress after two years, Obama lost congress after 2 years, trump lost congress after 2 years.

Trump will loose congress in two years, its what happens. Thats also why he is going nuts now, as he knows he only has two years of having congress. Its simple the party in power does not turn out to the vote, the party not in power does.

... an NYT article "Randy Fine, a state senator, wins a house seat in Florida, adding to the GOP majority"? (Underlining mine). The actual NYT headline says "G.O.P. Bolsters House Majority by Retaining Two Seats in Florida."