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In It to Win It

(9,764 posts)
Wed Dec 25, 2024, 02:56 AM 17 hrs ago

Texas, Florida, Arizona and Idaho likely to gain House seats after 2030 census

https://www.yahoo.com/news/texas-florida-arizona-idaho-likely-191726904.html


Texas, Florida, Arizona and Idaho are likely to gain House seats after the 2030 census, according to consulting firm Election Data Services.

A gain of two congressional seats would be seen in Texas and Florida, and one seat each in Arizona and Idaho, if congressional reapportionment were being ”held today,” the firm said in a Friday press release. That is based on population estimates for 2024 from the U.S. Census Bureau.

California would lose two seats, while Illinois, Minnesota, New York and Oregon would see the loss of one seat in the case of apportionment being held right now, according to those population estimates, the firm said.

Seats being lost in places like New York and California, some of the biggest states in the U.S. by population, could also be a risk for Democrats. The Empire State and Golden State are currently considered left-leaning strongholds that have been key to Democratic victories and power in recent years.
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Texas, Florida, Arizona and Idaho likely to gain House seats after 2030 census (Original Post) In It to Win It 17 hrs ago OP
Even more worrisome is that they will gain Electoral Votes, while CA & NY lose them Polybius 17 hrs ago #1
What are people moving out of blue states? jimfields33 11 hrs ago #3
A lot of them are Republican voting retirees. Mariana 10 hrs ago #4
True. Then it's no as bad since the blue states will jimfields33 10 hrs ago #5
It would be nice of some of those narrow wins for Rs became narrow wins for Ds ! eppur_se_muova 10 hrs ago #6
Housing, taxes and jobs. LeftInTX 8 hrs ago #7
This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave 16 hrs ago #2
The de-emphasis of vaccines in these states will likely negate any net gains Buckeyeblue 8 hrs ago #8

Polybius

(18,354 posts)
1. Even more worrisome is that they will gain Electoral Votes, while CA & NY lose them
Wed Dec 25, 2024, 03:01 AM
17 hrs ago

Democrats can lose 10 EV's just like that.

jimfields33

(19,312 posts)
3. What are people moving out of blue states?
Wed Dec 25, 2024, 08:13 AM
11 hrs ago

It doesn’t make sense. They have the best schools, resources, and other attributes. I think the people moving to Idaho, Texas, Florida and Arizona are going to find the grass isn’t greener than they believe.

Mariana

(15,194 posts)
4. A lot of them are Republican voting retirees.
Wed Dec 25, 2024, 09:34 AM
10 hrs ago

Being retirees, they don't care about schools, jobs, reproductive care, etc. because they don't need any of that. Florida is so solidly red now because for years Republican voting retirees have been pouring into the state. Places like The Villages have grown like weeds.

jimfields33

(19,312 posts)
5. True. Then it's no as bad since the blue states will
Wed Dec 25, 2024, 09:36 AM
10 hrs ago

become bluer. The red states will become worse. I now look at this as a positive for blue state population. They won’t have any push back since they all will be out of the state.

eppur_se_muova

(37,662 posts)
6. It would be nice of some of those narrow wins for Rs became narrow wins for Ds !
Wed Dec 25, 2024, 09:42 AM
10 hrs ago

Remember all the seats lost to the GOP in NY this year ? And all the close losses in CA ? The number of open seats in blue states may go down, but the swing districts could move toward Ds -- possibly a net gain.

LeftInTX

(30,580 posts)
7. Housing, taxes and jobs.
Wed Dec 25, 2024, 11:04 AM
8 hrs ago

Schools aren't as good, but Californians move to Texas for those three reasons. They live in decent areas with decent schools. Schools aren't as good as CA, but if they're in a nicer area than CA, it likely evens out. Texas schools tend to be "segregated". (Well, I guess you could say that about anywhere) But around here Californians settle in suburban areas with the better schools. The weather is their biggest complaint. Followed by public services. (Roads and traffic in general) Crime is about the same. I haven't heard too many complaints about the quality of public ed.

Response to In It to Win It (Original post)

Buckeyeblue

(5,720 posts)
8. The de-emphasis of vaccines in these states will likely negate any net gains
Wed Dec 25, 2024, 11:28 AM
8 hrs ago

I also think other extremely facist policies in these states will drive away the sane people that live there.

The next four years are going to be quite the challenge for us.

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